Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund – Champions League Final Preview

The first all-German clash in the Champions League final looks set to be an absolute thriller.

After being handed ‘the group of death’, being partnered with three other winners of their respective leagues, in the shape of Real Madrid, Manchester City and Ajax.

Many thought Dortmund may struggle to even get out of the group, with Madrid and City being regarded as having slightly better chances.

However the German side showed attacking flair and a beautiful short-passing game that has come to fruition under Jurgen Klopp, and managed to actually top their group.

They come into the game in solid form (ignoring their final game), however they face a massive challenge, as out of the four times the sides have met so far this year, they are yet to win, with Munich winning twice, and the spoils being shared on the other two occasions.

They will be without talisman Mario Gotze, who will be leaving for their opponents over the summer, due to a hamstring injury, and this means Klopp faces a selection headache as a number of players battle for the remaining spot.

Meanwhile, Bayern come into the game in simply scintillating form, having lost only once in the league all season, and ending the season with a goal difference of +80.

They handed out a 7-0 aggregate thrashing to Barcelona in the semi-final and enter the final as extremely worthy favourites.

They will be aiming to eradicate the memories of the past, including the two final losses in recent years, first when losing 2-0 to Inter Milan on in 2010, and more recently, last year, when going down on penalties to a determined Chelsea side.


Arjen Robben felt the pain more than most after he missed from twelve yards in last year’s final, and he will be out to make up for his previous mishaps.

The Dutchman has been in great form all year, and has been key to his sides perhaps over-achievement so far.

He looks set to get on the score-sheet, and the 11/5 on offer with BetVictor does look incredible value. He has proved impossible to mark with his explosive turn of pace, and direct running, and the sizable Wembley pitch will play to his strengths.

It won’t be a completely one-sided affair, as Dortmund are always dangerous on the counter-attack, and have been extremely fearless under their leader. However I think they will definitely struggle and the  penultimate game of Jupp Heynckes’ reign as Munich coach looks set to be a winning one.

His side have incredible strength in depth, and Javi Martinez’ job now looks slightly easier with Gotze missing out. Martinez will be able to control the game, and exploit the gaps that are likely to occur in the Dortmund midfield, as Ribery/Robben consistently cut-in from wide positions, causing Bender/Gundogan to sit deeper and deeper.

If this was a regular league game being played at a neutral venue, I would expect a much shorter price than the 3/4 on offer. I’m not a fan of advising odds-on selections, but I think Munich should have too much firepower for their German counterparts, and they will be able to make up for the losses of years gone by.

Robert Lewandowski, Polandia, Creating History Together with Arenabetting Piala Eropa 2012

However, with the Champions League’s second highest scorer on the opposition, in the shape of Robert Lewandowski, it is set to be a both teams to score banker.

Yet, at 13/20 there seems very little value. So take into account that six of the ten goals Bayern have conceded in the competition this season have been scored in the final 15 minutes of their matches, and understand that the most likely scorer for Dortmund is definitely Lewandowksi, then you will find a rather tasty value bet.

The Polish talisman is 13/2 to net the last goal in the 90 minutes on Saturday evening, and this looks a tad large. He’s netted ten times in this year’s competition, including a fantastic four against Real Madrid in the semi-final. Only Cristiano Ronaldo has netted more (12), and the target-man knows he is key if his side are to get anything out of the game.

He bagged his first goal in over a month of domestic football in the 2-1 defeat at Hoffenheim last week, which will give him a confidence boost and the stand out 13/2 with BetVictor looks too big to ignore.

Advice (all with BetVictor): 

4 points: Bayern Munich to win @ 3/4

1 point: Robben to score any-time @ 11/5.

1 point: Lewandowski to score last @ 13/2

2013= +26.21

Merseyside Derby Betting Preview

As the season draws to a close, many may be questioning just how important this Merseyside Derby really is.

Extremely important.

There is an element of a power shift occurring on Merseyside, with Everton attempting to finish above their local rivals in successive seasons for the first time since 1936/37.

However it will be no easy feat, with the reds fighting back in the best possible way, following Luis Suarez’ ten-game ban, following the biting incident with Branislav Ivanovic.

The 6-0 victory over Newcastle will inspite the side to know that they can deliver without the Uruguayan, and it will give the chance for Dan Sturridge to steal the limelight, and stake a claim for a starting role down the centre, when Suarez does return.

His greedy style of play is something Liverpool have lacked over the years, with more selfless strikers often being employed up-top.

He is sure to receive service with Gerrard and Coutinho sitting in behind him, and he looks a great bet to score two or more tomorrow afternoon, at 15/2 with Totesport.

sturridge swans

His confidence is sky-high after his double last weekend at St James’ Park, carrying on from his magnificent 45 minutes against Chelsea the week before.

He is sure to get the chance to get on the score-sheet, and he could enhance his already budding reputation, by bagging a brace in front of the Kop on Sunday.

Everton will not be walked over however, and have the class to sit deep and make it as difficult as possible for Liverpool to break them down.


However, with Philippe Coutinho, Liverpool seem to have found a magician, who can see things others can’t.

His performance against Newcastle was simply magnificent, and the Brazilian showed he had the characteristics to make a massive impact on Merseyside.

His vision, dribbling ability and accuracy with his through balls make him the perfect Number 10, to sit behind the lone striker.

He will be up against Fellaini, Osman and Gibson in the centre, with Gibson being given the likely task of sticking to the 20-year-old.

He is 8/11 to be shown a card tomorrow, which looked nailed on, but very little value. However if he is carded, he is more likely to give Coutinho more space, which will reflect even better on the Brazilian, and the 10/1 for him to be given Man of the Match, looks a solid bet.

Everton’s Croatian star Nikica Jelavic has been out of sorts this season, and it would be no surprise to see Moyes opt to start Victor Anichebe as the loan striker for the blues, in an attempt to outpace the aging Jamie Carragher.

He is a strong, pacy, old-fashioned centre-forward who will cause Carragher plenty of problems if he is given the nod to start up-top, and the 11/2 for him to be Everton’s first-goalscorer appeals massively.

In terms of the final score market, I do feel as though Liverpool have the measure of Everton, especially in front of what is sure to be a lively Anfield crowd, and with Moyes likely to be content to settle for a point, an early goal will change the entire game.

For this reason, the 3-1 Liverpool scoreline appeals, at odds of 16/1.

Everton are likely to exploit Carragher’s lack of pace, and should be able to grab at least one goal, however Liverpool’s new found attacking confidence is clear for all to see, and there are sure to be goals on Merseyside tomorrow.


1 point: Daniel Sturridge to score two or more @ 15/2 (Totesport)

0.5 points: Phillipe Coutinho to be Man of the Match @ 10/1 (BetVictor)

1 point: Victor Anichebe to score Everton’s first goal @ 11/2 (BetVictor)

0.5 points: Correct Score: 3-1 Liverpool @ 16/1 (Various)

2013 = +29.21