US PGA Championship – Preview With Tips

The last major of the golfing season is upon us, and the betting seems based around one man, Tiger Woods, who is aiming to end his five year wait for a fifteenth major.

The American has began to piece together form of late, all culminating with a magnificent victory in the WGC-Bridgestone, when he managed to shoot a 61, equaling his lowest ever round.

He looked comfortable in the Open Championship, until a late semi-collapse left him tied for sixth, and that will have given him the added boost he needed to ensure he sees out his rounds, which has shown at Bridgestone.

He is the greatest golfer in the world, and comes into the event in great form, however is 4/1 really value? Of course, if he bolts up by seven shots like he did last week, it will look tremendous, however this is set to be a lot tougher.

If he manages to escape the mental toughness that seems to be overriding his psyche in majors of late, he will take all the beating, but he can’t be advised at such a short price, and the firms offering money back if Woods wins, may be worth siding with this week.

Fortunately for us, due to the superiority of Tiger in terms of the betting, we can find massive value elsewhere, due to the shortest price outside of the master, being 16/1.

However, we look to side with Henrik Stenson, who looks like massive value at 25/1, given his current form.

He finished second at Firestone last Sunday, and continues to be backed every time he lines up for a major.

stenson

Ranking fifth on the PGA tour for driving accuracy, it is his putting which has often let the Swede down, and if he manages to piece together a bit of form on the greens at Oak Hill, it would be no surprise to see him end his long wait for a first major.

He has form in the USPGA, finishing top-six in successive years, back in 2008 and 2009, and given the drive and determination etched on Stenson’s stern face every time he lines up at the first tee, you can tell how much it would mean to him, to end the season with a major.

He looks set to be the main selection of the week, whilst we look elsewhere for potential springers at bigger prices.

Although he has been in abysmal form of late, Rory McIlroy has the ability to make a mockery of his 35/1 odds.

The reigning champion landed last years prize in tremendous style, and would be a lot shorter had it not been for his well-documented dip in form since signing a mega-money contract with Nike.

His distance control when using a wedge has been dramatically inconsistent, and he will need to show massive improvements in his short game, as-well as driving accuracy.

However his final round and the Open showed signs of improvements, and states he is entering the week with positives.

Although I wouldn’t advise having a massive amount of McIlroy, it is worth chancing your arm at a bigger price that he can find enough improvement with his new clubs, to mount a serious challenge.

Any signs of a big round early on, and his odds will crumble, as the layers know what he is capable of. This offers a great chance to lay your bet off and escape with a profit, before he has the chance to crumble.

Our final selection is one readers of the golfing selection of this blog, won’t be surprised to see, GMac.

He has been put up in every major covered, and we still need to keep our unwavering faith with the Irishman.

At the last two majors I have been incredibly happy to get 25/1 and 28/1, so imagine the delight of having a quick browse of Oddschecker and seeing the 66/1 widely on offer.

He has been fairly uninspiring of late, and enters the week needing to improve on previous efforts. However, he has won three times in 2013, and all have been on the back of poor performances.

With no pressure on him (like Rory), we could see a different man come Thursday morning, and he looks too big to ignore at 66/1.

Advice:

1.5 points e.w: Henrik Stenson @ 25/1 (Various)

0.75 points e.w: Rory McIlroy @ 35/1 (Coral)

0.75 points e.w: Graeme McDowell @ 66/1 (Various) 

Bet Victor’s suggestions on how to win the US Masters

Bet Victor are renowned for their incredible special offers on major sporting events, and the US Masters is no different.

They have trumped other market competitors by offering an incredible special for anyone who is contemplating having a punt on this weeks big event.

Only at Bet Victor will you find the special offer of receiving your money back of up to £50 per person/household if Tiger Woods or Rory McIlroy win the US Masters!

This means that you can be free to back your outsiders in the knowledge that you will be receiving your stake back if either of the two main contenders land the prize at Augusta this week.

So enjoy the four days, and if it comes to the final day and you’re choices are without a chance, make sure you get behind Tiger or Rory to retrieve your money for the week!

Now we’ve got your attention, and you’re contemplating who to back, have a look at Bet Victor’s guide on how to win a Masters..

Follow the trends and best of luck for the week.

Masters

US Masters 2013 – Tips

The opening segment of this week’s post about the 2013 US Masters comes from my course-mate  and golf fanatic Matthew Southcombe.

The Welshman cleaned up at the Ryder Cup, so I have drafted him in, in the hope of making us all some money on the big event in America this week.

There are plenty of offers around if you care to shop about, however if you are fancying a bigger priced bet but scared that the front two in the market could snatch it, in Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy, make sure you have a bet with Bet Victor.

They are offering money back of up to £50 back if Tiger or Rory win, on any pre-tournament bets on the big event. This looks a safer option if your player is only a couple of points shorter with the firm, as effectively you also have the front two in the market going with you, for free.

Selections:

Matt Kuchar 37/1 Betfair

I can’t believe Kuchar’s price is so big!

Kuchar is currently 3rd in the FedEx Cup standings following his win at the WGC Accenture Mactchplay back in February. The Butch Harmon student hasn’t missed a cut all year and has 3 top 10’s out of 7 starts.

The Floridian has proved he has what it takes to hold his own at the major championships. Last season he came T9 at the Open Championship and came T3 at Augusta behind winner Bubba Watson and 2nd place Louis Oosthuizen.

I’m a firm believer that to win at Augusta you need to be hitting fairways, but Kuchar never misses a cut (just 1/22 cuts missed last season) and if you’re there at the weekend, anything can happen.

Justin Rose 22/1 Betfair

U.S. Open Golf Practice Round June 15,  2011

Rose is the finished article with a fantastic, repeatable swing. The Englishman is 18th in the FedEx Cup thanks to no missed cuts from 4 starts this season, he also has 4 top 25’s with 3 top 10’s.

He also has the winning feeling this season after being part of the Lake Albany team that won the Tavistock Cup in March.

The 32-year-old has worked his way to number 3 in the world and last year he finished T8 at Augusta and T3 in the PGA Championship. He also played a big part in the European Ryder Cup success, canning a huge putt on the final day at 17, proving he can do it on the big stage.

Finally in a recent interview at Bay Hill I got the impression that Rose believes he can beat Tiger, and he can.

Keegan Bradley 33/1 Bet365

I’m usually not Bradley’s biggest fan, something about him really bugs me, but there’s no denying the guy can play.

He didn’t really perform too well in the majors last year but managed to get himself T3 at glory’s last shot.

The man from Vermont proved he has what it takes on the big stage by winning the WGC Bridgestone Invitational last season, he also won 3 out of 4 points on his Ryder Cup debut.

His season has come alive in recent weeks claiming 4 top 10’s in his last 4 starts and has the 11th best scoring average this year on the PGA Tour.

The man has some serious game and I reckon he’s a solid each way bet.

Those selections were courtesy of Mr Southcombe, and now I am going to add my own for anyone who fancies sticking with me!

My Selections:

Charl Schwartzel – 29/1 Betfair

charl schwartzel

Schwartzel has really been on top of his game of late, with his last four starts on the European Tour returning a first, a second, a third and a fourth placed finish.

His final round 75 eradicated any chances he had when last seen in America, but when you take into account, that is his worst strokeplay finish so far this calendar year, it makes the 29/1 seem a marvelous price.

He has a sensational record in Majors, with a run of seven consecutive top 18 finishes.

He landed the US Masters two years ago and arrives to Augusta in better form, and arguably a better player than when he won it. All points towards a big challenge from the South African.

Angel Cabrera – 125/1 William Hill

The ageing Argentinian has a fine record at Augusta including five top 10 finishes in the Masters, with the highlight being his victory in 2009.

His long, straight drives are key to his success at the course, and although his form has not been great as of late, he always seems to make sure he enters early April in top condition for a crack at the big prize.

Matt Southcombe’s advice:

1 point win: Matt Kuchar – 37/1 (Betfair)

1 point win: Justin Rose – 22/1 (Betfair)

0.5 points e.w: Keegan Bradley – 33/1 (Bet365)

My advice:

0.5 point win – Charl Schwartzel – 29/1 (Betfair)

2 points win: Charl Schwartzel – Top 10 finish – 11/5 (Stan James)

0.25 win – Angel Cabrera – 125/1 (William Hill)

0.25 win – Angel Cabrera – Top 10 finish – 8/1 (Ladbrokes)

Here is a link to Matt Southcombe’s sports blog: http://sportisawesome.wordpress.com/

2013: +25.11