Forge Clear At Newmarket

Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting takes centre stage tomorrow and there looks to be plenty of interesting sorts taking to the Rowley Mile.

We begin with a Listed contest at 1.50 and although wide-open, it isn’t the strongest renewal in terms of class. However there are a number of interesting runners, including Wilamina, who looks potentially useful before a disappointing effort last time out. If you’re willing to line through that performance, then she should be bang there at a nice double figure price. However, the nod goes towards Kevin Ryan’s charge, Ashadihan.

The filly burst onto the scene with a blistering turn of foot during a Haydock maiden victory, before running a huge race to finish second in the Albany. Something was clearly amiss as she flopped in the Albany but she bounced back in style, with a smooth success in a Lingfield Group 3 on her first start of the season.

She ran solid enough raves behind Alice Springs and Qemah on her last two starts at Group 1 level and now a return to tomorrow’s level should allow to go mightily close again. At 6/1, she looks a solid proposition.

It would be a surprise to see Journey turned over in the 2.30, as a reproduction of last year’s form puts her clear of rivals and her efforts this season have suggested she’s retained plenty of ability. She won this race by eight lengths last season and should take the beating yet again.

It’s hard to back against Fair Eva in the Rockfel Stakes, as she is sure to relish the step up to 7f for the first time. Her pedigree (daughter of the mighty Frankel) suggests she will enjoy further in time and although she was turned over by the very smart Queen Kindly at York, the winner had conditions perfect and may turn out to be more suited to a sharp six at this stage.

Her odds aren’t fantastic but it could be a performance to put forward her 1000 Guineas credentials. Exmouth has the potential to be extremely useful but the more experience Fair Eva should have enough to keep her at bay in what looks a safe enough forecast.

Nathra is a worthy favourite in the Shadwell Joel Stakes but it may be worth taking a chance on Forge. Sir Michael Stoute’s charge has ran well in defeat behind Nemoralia, Thikriyaat, Ribchester and Zonderland before he managed to get his head in front at Haydock last time out. He has a similar profile to Confront, who won this race for connections back in 2009. At 5/1, he should give the favourite plenty to think about.

For the rest of the card, Alfarris is an interesting and expensive purchase, who should go well for the in form William Haggas yard. Century Dream holds a Group 1 entry and should progress plenty from his nice Ascot sixth on debut. He looks value against a favourite that was rather flat last time out and could be worth a second glance at a nice enough price, with Simon Crisford’s horses in decent order.

The strong-travelling Dal Harraild is sure to have plenty of supporters in the penultimate race but the consistent Furia Cruzada could be one to stay on best from a gentle pace and with Frankie Dettori in the saddle, an extremely fine judge of pace, a chance can be taken at 5/1.

The ‘lucky last’ just to happens to be the Silver Cambridgeshire, so those who sample the ‘luck’ will be rewarded at a a healthy price. Dawn Mirage has come in for early support for Messrs Haggas and Moore but Freight Train catches the eye for Mark Johnston and Jamie Spencer.

Johnston’s charges are renowned for being extremely tough and this front-running sort could prove hard to pass if coming on for his run at Pontefract last time out. He had flirted with another big performance as he streaked clear before being collared late on, yet with Spencer now on board, he could of interest now fit from that effort.

Selections:

1pt win: 1:50 – Ashadihan @ 6/1 (Various)

1pt win: 3:40 – Forge @ 5/1 (Various)

1pt ew: 5:55 – Freight Train @ 20/1 (Various)

Glorious Goodwood – Day Three Advice

After Dawn Approach went down valiantly in defeat on Wednesday afternoon, it meant we were back to square one in trying to break this Goodwood curse.

Richard Hannon is currently flying, and anything he runs must be taken very seriously. Fortunately he does not have a runner in the Goodwood Cup, and this allows us to make a very strong selection, from overseas.

A German raider stole the show on Saturday, as Novellist romped home in the King George, and it would be no surprise to see the German’s steal the show again tomorrow with Altano.

Andreas Wohler’s 7-y-o has only ever raced over two miles on occasion, when winning a Group Three at Hoppergarten. Since then he has competed in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot, finishing a very tenderly ridden and fast finishing fifth.

He looked as though he should have troubled the leaders a lot more than he did, and with the benefit of a run on these shores, and his ideal trip, he should go very close.

He is currently a top-priced 7/1, which looks exceptional each-way value. I would advise getting on as soon as possible, as I imagine he will go off around the 9/2-5/1 mark come race time tomorrow.

His main competition looks likely to come from John Gosden’s Caucus. The 6-y-o looked better than ever when getting within one and a half lengths of future Gold Cup winner Estimate, in the Sagaro Stakes. He then went on to win a listed race at Sandown a shade cosily, and comes into the race in great form.

There are no stamina doubts about William Buick’s mount, and he should be challenging all the way down the Sussex straight.

Earlier on in the card, the Richmond Stakes plays host to a bunch of very classy 2-y-o’s.

Figure of Speech looks a worthy favourite, following his brilliant second in the July Stakes, on only his second start.

Charlie Appleby has already tasted Group race success this week, and the boys in blue are looking like a force to be reckoned with once more.

However he is little value at the current 6/4, so we should look elsewhere, and no further than Saayerr.

ryan moore

William Haggas has been in fine form of late, and Ryan Moore takes over from Liam Jones in the saddle.

He was far from disgraced at Royal Ascot, and the break since will have done him the world of good. He looks much more suited to a smaller, tactical ordeal, as opposed to a big field like last time. Moore is in devilish form, and with Parbold uncertain to run (having run on Wednesday), Big Thunder looking a bit flat last time out, and Jallota seemingly on a decline, I suggest getting stuck into the 7/1 currently on offer for Saayerr.

Advice:

1 point win: 3:05 Goodwood: Altano @ 7/1

0.5 reverse forecast: Altano/Caucus

1 point win: 2:30 Goodwood: Saayerr @ 7/1

0.5 e.w double: Altano & Saayerr @ 63/1